Quote:
Originally Posted by Macindoc
I was trying to prove that an average error of 10.4 is not good, only slightly better than picking random numbers. All of those inputs in the JFresh model make it no better than some simple model that has nothing at all to do with the sport or the league. So there's something wrong with it. If the JFresh model is any good, it should be measurably better, regardless of how that result was reached. If you're inputting a whole bunch of information that you think is relevant but your results are no more accurate, then maybe what you think is relevant isn't, or isn't weighted properly. It's not the concept of the JFresh model that's the problem, it's the model's design.
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Exactly. We all understand what models do, and what this one is trying to do. The point is that it is not moving the needle in the slightest.