The first part of the video isn't that interesting we already know we got the expected TACO result from Trumps deadlines for Putin while the only thing Trump got back was a successful distraction from the Epstein files.
However, there's a lot of interesting stuff on the actual war in the latter part.
- Russian air campaigns have become increasingly focused on frontline target. With the Soviet vehicle stockpiles running out, this means the main Russian frontline strategy is basically air strikes + guys on foot.
- Ukrainian air campaign in contrast has become increasingly focused on economic and logistical targets. Strikes on oil refineries especially happen every few days now. It's a bit of a slow burn strategy, but one that makes sense considering the most likely perceivable victory condition for Ukraine is Russia losing its economic ability to continue the war.
- Drones have become so ubiquitous that supplying troops on the frontlines (plus cycling troops in and out, evacuating the wounded etc.) is now one of the most difficult logistical challenges for both sides, and the obvious solution is more drones, this time UGVs taking on more of the last mile logistics.
- While "WW1 with drones" is a popular and not completely unfounded description of the war in Ukraine, the reality of drones warfare means that increasingly there are no obvious trenchlines anymore. A typical Ukrainian battlefront is now bunch of small concealed positions with only a handful of men each scattered around a large area, with concealment such a big priority that you try to avoid ever using those positions for fighting. This is also due to the fact that despite the massive number of troops, the current frontlinea are just too long for either side to keep them fully manned. Current Russian tactics, successfully employed in Pokrovsk for example means constantly sending forwars small groups of men, sometimes just a couple of men, trying to slip through the gaps in the porous lines to create new positions behind the enemy, which are then used to support larger assaults. This still creates really high amounts of casualties as you would expect from Russians, (and those casualties I would imagine are likely to happen in places where evacuation is impossible), but it makes a lot of sense when you consider the priorities and of Russian leadership as well as the resources they have available.
- Artillery units have also been forced to create "hot" and "cold" positions, meaning they're now most of the time stationed in concealed positions away from their own ammunition (cold positions), and only move to "hot" firing positions when needed. Because getting attacked by drones with a bunch of ammo lying around is just so much worse than getting attacked without that ammo, and the best way to not get attacked is to hide.
- Basically: both sides are employing tactics that make sense for them. As expected, while the quality of Russian military leadership was atrocious to begin the war, over time the gap inevitably growa smaller, as Russians gather experience and more capable leaders rise up the ranks.
Last edited by Itse; 08-25-2025 at 02:21 AM.
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