Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse
So...
President Netanyahu declared the war a historic victory for Israel. President Pezeshkian declared it a great victory for Iran.
Around 1000 Iranians and a couple of dozen Israelis died. More than 6000 people were injured (split fairly evenly). Around 150 people arrested in Iran as suspected Mossad agents, at least 2 have already been executed and more likely to come
Billions of Israeli, Iranian and US taxpayer money was spent in the form of spent or destroyed military materiel, not to mention all the collateral damage especially in Iran.
Experts estimate Irans ability to produce nuclear weapons was maybe slowed down by some months.
It remains unclear how actively Iran was ever pursuing a nuclear weapon, and it's even more unclear whether these attacks are more likely to increase or decrease their desire to nuke up.
Profit?
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Doesn't look convincing at all.
Nobody has a clue about real damage at Fordo. The site is deep underground and there's no way to figure out except for excavate the centrifuges and see. All those estimates, both positive and negative, are just people making things up. This includes "US intelligence assessment", unless they have a credible explaination on how exactly did they assess the state of centrifuges 100 meters underground under a bombed out entrance.
And when people say that Iran's ability to produce nukes is slowed down for merely months, they mean that it would take some months to rebuild what was bombed out. They miss that nobody will let them do it. If Iranians would try to excavate centrifuges from Fordo, they will be bombed on the spot. Hence, it doesn't even matter if centrifuges are destroyed or not.