Seems like Iran informed the US and Qatar beforehand as well. A major escalation would have been closing the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has been heavily depleted over the past week and a half, at this point the IRGC knows they are pinned against a wall. They are only able to launch 20-30 missles at most towards Israel. Their launchers have been heavily degraded and while being able to inflict damage towards Israel it has been far less than people had predicted. If they decide to negotiate now they can preserve their government.
From a military sense Iran got completed exposed. Through Mossad’s opening operation to Iran’s complete inability to defend their airspace. As discussed, their proxies showed zero willingness or ability to participate in this round of fighting. It is still unknown who outside the Ayatollah is now calling the main shots, but whoever is if they want to stay in power there is only one option left. This is effectively a military check mate.
Bibi will definitely use this to cement his power in the next election, Mossad is really who should be getting credit and not a politician. Decades of planning went into what has unfolded over the past week. Regardless, I hope that is the end of this. My fiancé’s coworker is Iranian and has been a mess since she has not been able to contact family. I hope for her sake this is over.
Last edited by Beninho; 06-23-2025 at 01:47 PM.
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