Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
The biggest thing is that drafting high does help you build a winner, there is no denying that, but it also doesn't guarantee anything...
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Thanks for this analysis!
From your data, the 8 teams without multiple top 5 picks making an impact on their roster won 4 cups, so that path averaged to 0.5 cups per team.
The 23 teams with 2 or more top impactful picks won 16 cups (including this year), averaging 0.7 cups per team, 40% more than the first group.
If you make the cutoff 3 top picks it gets even more pronounced: 18 teams and 15 cups = 0.83 cups per team, 66% more than the first group.
That really shows that while drafting high can absolutely fail and we could very well become the next Buffalo, not drafting high appears to be the even riskier strategy.
Now how we actually do draft that high I don't know, I do believe management thought we were doing that this year going into the season. I don't see it getting any easier as time goes on if they continue to build targeting the opening of the arena. Here's hoping Conroy and the scouts can pull off another great draft and we can end up on the right side of the 0.5 cups per team over the next 20 years.