Quote:
Originally Posted by dustygoon
If that is true or even available in range that both of our firsts can trade up to, then i don't see why you wouldn't. This is the draft of meh. McQueen is that lottery ticket that the tank crew wants us to lose for. Roll the dice on healing due to youth and medical professionals.
Rough math: Probability of getting a top forward (more than 300 points) with either 18 or 32 is ~12% and ~10%....so 22-25% chance we get a solid player at 18 and/or 32.
By all accounts when healthy McQueen is ranked with Misa. The chance of McQueen (assuming he is a top 3 pick) turning into a top player over 300 points is ~60%, so even after adjusting for downside of the back issue i think you are ahead.
Happy for someone to tear down my math (been awhile since i did independent outcomes!), but i know i'm roughly over the target. It's a no brainer if he drops down to a range that our two picks can trade up for.
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I’m thinking no chance he gets past the Habs at 16 and 17. They’ll take a chance on him with one of those