Perun with good analysis of "How realistic is peace at this point".
Short version: not realistic in the near future unless the situation on the battlefield changes significantly.
Ukrainians see the war as existential, meaning they believe that Russias real goals are essentially the destruction of Ukraine and its people. They have little reason to stop fighting unless they get some sort of a solid guarantee that Russia doesn't try this again, and those guarantees are not on the horizon... plus they wouldn't be accepted by Russia as part of a peace deal. In short, the support for war in Ukraine is still strong.
Russias sunk costs for this war are increasing by the day, which has resulted in their war goals expanding further and further to somehow justify the enormous losses they've suffered, so really the countries are probably as far away from peace as they've ever been.
Not mentioned in this video, but I think both sides also still feel like they can win this, which is a major reason to keep fighting.
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