Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
I think the southern Ontario results suggest that PP will be able to form government unless Carney presents real change for blue collar manufacturing.
Votes went from the NDP and Liberals to the conservatives. It’s that young working class vote, especially male which may be permanently with the Cons. In that scenario a small shift from liberals to bloc in Quebec elects a conservative government.
Post trade deal next year when domestic challenges from Tarrifs are still reverberating through the economy we may see an anti incumbency bent in the electorate like we almost had last year.
PP regardless of being an anchor wins at least a minority it that macro environment.
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The CPC made inroads in working-class immigrant communities. Look at Brampton, where the CPC won a seat and were close in the other five (the Liberals won by margins of 1-4 per cent) . Or Calgary, where they flipped McKnight. When the threat of Trump has faded (the polls were already closing once he stopped yapping about Canada for a few weeks), the electorate will turn to the economic environment again, which probably isn’t going to be great for at least the next 18 months.