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Old 04-24-2025, 03:01 PM   #1275
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
I think huge conclusions on one game are a mistake.

But the stats are the stats.

The system is designed to count things happening both good and bad and then those occurrences are applied to averages for goal results.

Player has more good things happen than bad is always going to have a better game than a player having more bad things than good. A goalie can make a save and change the actual outcome, but that doesn't change the underlying performance.
Again, I think you give it too much credit. There are only a few events that generate stats, so saying more good than bad is not accurate, because most of what they do during the game is not being counted. Instead, only a few things are counted, and those things can be very different than their numbers, due to time and space - not all shots from the same location are created equal.

Very few data points + inaccurate awarding of points = very skewed and misleading results.

We see it almost every night where the xGF and xGA are wildly different than what is expected from observation.
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