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Old 04-22-2025, 12:55 PM   #25141
GGG
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist View Post
The cost estimates are done by the PBO so it isn't Pierre math vs Carney math.
CPC tax cuts: https://www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/epc-estima...L-45-1027764-P
Liberal tax cuts: https://www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/epc-estima...L-45-1024567-P
For this particular line item it isn’t Carney math vs PP math but it doesn’t appear that the revenue generating initiatives go through the PBO. Maybe I just can’t find them

But things like increased revenue from new homes built of 4.2 billion doesn’t seem to have a PBO estimate. Revenue gains from capital gains measures that more than offset the cost of the capital gains measure seem convenient and not backed a PBO calc. Nothing explaining the 5 billion in new revenue from repealing the EV mandate.

So while the expense side seems well costed the rest seems like smoke and mirrors.

There are also short term tax cuts that may be made permanent like the capital gains reinvestment that are not included in years 3 and 4.

The big suspect number in the liberal plan is the 13 billion in government efficiencies.

There is roughly 25 billion in mystery revenue and about 14 billion in spending cuts not tied to program cuts in the PCP plan.

So definitely some suspect math on the revenue side of the PCP plan relative to the liberal plan.

All numbers from
https://liberal.ca/wp-content/upload...sting_Plan.pdf
https://www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/epc-estima...mations-cpe/45
https://canada-first-for-a-change.s3...N_R1-pages.pdf

Last edited by GGG; 04-22-2025 at 12:58 PM.
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