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Old 04-15-2025, 10:17 AM   #43
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tony-soprano View Post
Playoff odds at 13%
I broke it down, if anyone cares. Here are the various scenarios...

MIN loses in reg, the Flames get 4 pts: 9% chance

STL loses in reg, Flames get 3 pts: 12% chance

STL loses in OT, Flames get 4 pts: 2%

STL wins in OT, Flames get 2 regulation wins: 2%

By my unofficial calculations, they have a 25% chance (though these numbers do not factor quality of competition, which, frankly, is too difficult to quantify when teams have different motivations at the end of the year)
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