Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist
In 2015, yes. In 2019, no. In 2021 it is tight. In the last election Liberal + NDP would not beat Len but with the Green vote it would be a win although if the same is applied on the right and the People's party was rolled into the Conservative vote it would still be a right victory.
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Exactly. My point is that Calgary Confed is winnable for the Liberals if you can pull a few more percentage points with a strong candidate like Hogan and everything aligns as it seems to be at the moment.
Is it an easy riding to flip? No.
But if you have strong leader/Liberal vibes across the country (which we have at the moment and did in 2019) + a strong local candidate + weaker NDP/Green or weak national campaign + a weak or unliked CPC candidate, Calgary Confed
could go Liberal. But you need all of those cards to align.