Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashes
Im a big fan of Bader's models to help project players, it adds some fun to the speculation, but it's certainly not etched in stone that Suniev (or Coronato for that matter) can't achieve more than he predicts.
Case in point, using Farabee as a comparable to Coronato in terms of point projection makes them look like very similar players but I think we would all agree that they play a very different style of game and Coronato is a much deadlier shooter. So saying that Farabee has a low chance of being a star so therefore Coronato likely won't be just because.. numbers.. is just a fallacy. Same with Suniev, when everything we've heard from his coaches is that he's extremely driven and motivated to make the NHL and has seemingly improved every single year. Not saying it's super likely, but it's very early for those conversations.
Would love to see Coronato and Suniev on a scoring line together at some point though, exciting times!
|
To the first paragraph yes definitely. The weakness with the model is there can always be extenuating circumstances about their production and how their talent translates from one league to the next. Fans of teams with prospects who outperform the model are always in Bader's replies letting him know.
To the second part, no it's not a fallacy. It's literally just - players who produce like this, at this level, at this age, in their D+X, have become a star X% of the time. Opinions of coaches don't invalidate the model come on. What are you saying, the model is invalid because this prospect is driven? be serious.