Maybe a better question is where would the Flames be without their goalies compared to the teams below them
Im going to use GSAA (Goals saved above expected) because... Well it makes this easier and I think it might demonstrate best? Im using Evolving Hockey Site.
Wolf 11.88
Vladar -2.69
Flames total : 9.91 GSAA
The Flames currently have a -23 goal differential. So with 'expected goaltending' they would have a -33 goal differential. I will call this adjusted Goal Differential
So where would this put us if we standardized all other teams?
SJ
Askarov -1.18
Vanacek -8.67
Georgiev -18.75
Blackwood 5.36
Total -23.24 GSAA
Goal Differential -88
Adjusted Goal Differential = -65
Chicago
Soderblom -2.68
Mrazek -9.27
Knight -3.89
Total - -15.84 GSAA
Goal Differential -68
Adjusted Goal Differential = -52
Nashville
Annunen -.015
Saros -3.49
Total -3.50
Goal Differential -51
Adjusted Goal Differential = -47
Seattle
Daccord 10.78
Gruber -14.23
Total -3.45
Goal Differential -21
Adjusted Goal Differential = -17
Buffalo
Reimer 0.93
Levi -6.27
Luukkonen -22.52
Total -27.86
Goal Differential -22
Adjusted Goal Differential = +6
Boston
Korpisalo -3.56
Swayman -9.63
Total -13.19
Goal Differential -51
Adjusted Goal Differential = -38
Philly
Ersson -21.6
Fedotov -9.81
Kolosov -10.34
Total -47.75
Goal Differential -46
Adjusted Goal Differential = +1
Pitts
Blomqvist -5.96
Nedel -7.32
Jarry -7.44
Total -20.72
Goal Differential -56
Adjusted Goal Differential = -35
Anahiem
Reimer -2.28
Gibson +9.73
Dostal +7.81
Total +15.26
Goal Differential -29
Adjusted Goal Differential = -44
MTL
Primeau -14.91
Dobes -1.02
Montembeault -2.98
Total - 18.91
Goal Differential -26
Adjusted Goal Differential = -7
NYI
Sorokin +4.21
Hogberg +7.71
Varlamov -1.75
Total +10.17
Goal Differential -23
Adjusted Goal Differential = -33
Det
Lyon -2.37
Talbot -0.4
Husso -7.14
Mrazek +0.27
Total -9.64
Goal Differential -22
Adjusted Goal Differential = -13
So ordering the teams adjusted goal differential we get is :
Buffalo +6
Philly +1
Montreal -7
Det -13
Seattle -17
NYI -33
Calgary -33
Pitts -35
Boston -38
Anaheim -44
Nashville -47
Chicago -52
SJ -65
Now goal difference isnt the end all - But I think this gives a decent idea of how these teams goalies are affecting their overall success
If Flames were to switch goalies with Buffalo or Philly they could easily be in the bottom 3.
But all goaltending being equal this team sits firmly in the bottom 8 for goals differential
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