Updated races ...
Top Ten Pick:
Flames need to go 0-8-1 or .056
Playoff Spot:
Flames need to go 7-2-0 or .778
Draft Position Landing:
Draft positions 11-15 and 20-21 seem unlikely. Looks like 16 or 19 to me.
Code:
Draft Spot Win % Pace Now Pts Tie %
11 22 0.507 83.1 82 1 0.056
12 21 0.520 85.3 82 3 0.167
13 20 0.521 85.4 82 3 0.167
14 19 0.527 86.4 82 4 0.222
15 18 0.527 86.5 82 4 0.222
16 17 0.547 89.8 82 8 0.444
17 16 0.562 92.1 82 10 0.556
18 15 0.572 93.9 82 12 0.667
19 14 0.575 94.4 82 12 0.667
20 13 0.580 95.1 82 13 0.722
21 12 0.587 96.2 82 14 0.778
Gap to Florida:
Back to 7 draft positions
This is far from a worst case scenario in my opinion.