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Originally Posted by #-3
Well the Hockey reference attributes 9.2 points to Wolf this season, but you also have to consider his value over replacement,
Without Wolf do we still have Markstrom? 6.8 points with the same number of games played.
Would Vladar have played 45 games? His 4 point shares pro-rated come up to 6.4.
So just looking at the two counter factuals that are likely, the Flames would probably be about 2 - 2.5 points further behind without wolf. Where the real narrative could change is if the Team hadn't spent the majority of the playoffs in a wildcard spot, do they play as hard? Do they go out and get Frost? do they let players who are bumped up take more time off? Do they trade away someone important. I think these are real counter factuals, but Wolf is a proximate cause, not a direct cause. It's a team game and the goal matters, but not only the goalie, there have been many games this year where this team has been damn impressive.
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The Flames have played very well the last handful of games. The best they have all season.
For the remainder of the year, we have probably "deserved" to lose 75% of them. If you go by the deserve to win meter or whatever metrics.
It's a team game though and Wolf has stolen like 20 points minimum.