Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolven
Had to go all of the way back to page 62 to find my last post. Wow has this thread gotten predictably crazy since getting into the "Murderer's row" road trip.
Section 1: Marching to the Trade Deadline - 2 games remaining - Expected Wins:
- Likely Wins: Flyers (A)
- Likely Losses:
- Expected Losses: Stars (A)
- Confirmed Wins: Sabres (H), Wild (A)*, Ducks (H), Kraken (A)*, Sharks (H), Capitals (A)*,
- Confirmed OTL: Kraken (H)*, Hurricane (A)*,
- Confirmed Losses: Jets (A), Capitals (H), Red Wings (H)*, Leafs (H), Avalanche (H), Lightning (A), Panthers (A),
*Defied expectation
Section 2: Playoff standings update
Even with the nightmare roadtrip, the Flames are currently tied for WC2 with the Canucks but with the tiebreaker going in the Flames favour. The Blues are 1 point back (with 2 more games played) and UHC is 2 points back with 1 more game played.
... |
The "Murderer's row" road trip has ended and the Trade Deadline is upon us.
Section 1: Marching to the Trade Deadline - 0 games remaining. Results are 7-7-3 record
All things considered, I would say that the Flames outperformed expectations with the hard schedule and the big road trip.
- Confirmed Wins: Sabres (H), Wild (A)*, Ducks (H), Kraken (A)*, Sharks (H), Capitals (A)*, Flyers (A)
- Confirmed OTL: Kraken (H)*, Hurricane (A)*, Stars (A)*
- Confirmed Losses: Jets (A), Capitals (H), Red Wings (H)*, Leafs (H), Avalanche (H), Lightning (A), Panthers (A),
*Defied expectation
Marching down the stretch: 20 games remaining
- Expected Wins: Canadiens (H), Canucks (H), Kraken (H), UHC (A), Ducks (H), Sharks (A), Ducks (A), Sharks (H),
- Likely Wins: Islanders (A), Wild (H), Kings (A),
- Likely Losses: Rangers (A),
- Expected Losses: Avalanche (H), Maple Leafs (A), Devils (A), Stars (H), Oilers (A), Avalanche (A), Golden Knights (H), Golden Knights (H),
Quick reminder: How I set my expectations is that the team does better at home and worse on the road and it seems that we do better against bubble and basement teams but struggle against the playoff teams of this season. Currently showing 8-8-4 expectation, depending on how you want to read this list.
Section 2: Playoff standings update
On TDL day, the team is still holding onto WC2.
- Canucks are 1 point back and have a game in hand
- Blues are 2 points back but have 1 more game played
- UHC are 3 points back with even games played to the Flames
Section 3:
Tankathon update
- The Flames have the 15th hardest remaining schedule (L10 = 3-4-3)
- Canucks have the 6th hardest (L10 = 5-4-1)
- Kings have the 18th hardest (L10 = 4-3-3)
- Blues are 32nd hardest... STILL the easiest remaining schedule as of now!!!! (L10 = 6-2-2)
- UHC are 27th hardest (L10 = 7-3-0)
Based on the standings, the Canucks are still a threat as they could pass us with their game in hand. However, they do seem to be selling for the TDL and Tankathon suggests their hard schedule should help the Flames stay ahead.
The Blues and UHC become the threat to holding onto WC2 with their winning records in their last 10 and easy schedules in front of them.
Section 4: "Top10 draft" update
- Flames are 14th overall, tied with CBJ.
- 1 point back is the Senators, Canucks, and Rangers.
- 2 points back is the Red Wings, Blues, and Canadiens.
- 3 points back is the UHC and Bruins are 4 points back.
Basically, 2 points separate the Flames from dropping 6 spots in the standings to 20 OA. However, it would take UHC and one of the Bruins, Islanders, or Flyers to get some wins to open the #10 spot for the Flames. There still is a chance for a top 10 pick but it is very, very small.
Note: Devils are currently 12OA and Panthers are 4OA in the standings.