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Old 03-03-2025, 01:54 PM   #1501
Hackey
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher View Post
True. There’s also a much larger list of teams that don’t tear it down and fail than the list of teams that don’t tear down and succeed.

In any given 10 year span, 6 or 7 teams out of 32 win the Cup. Most strategies by most franchises fail.
The probability of winning a cup with a tear down rebuild is low.
The probability of winning a cup without a tear down rebuild is significantly lower.

The probability of drafting a star in the top 5 is low.
The probability of drafting a star outside the top 5 is significantly lower.

I don't know what the exact probabilities are but I'd rather the 15% chance over the 0.01% chance.
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