Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
True. There’s also a much larger list of teams that don’t tear it down and fail than the list of teams that don’t tear down and succeed.
In any given 10 year span, 6 or 7 teams out of 32 win the Cup. Most strategies by most franchises fail.
|
The probability of winning a cup with a tear down rebuild is low.
The probability of winning a cup without a tear down rebuild is significantly lower.
The probability of drafting a star in the top 5 is low.
The probability of drafting a star outside the top 5 is significantly lower.
I don't know what the exact probabilities are but I'd rather the 15% chance over the 0.01% chance.