Quote:
Originally Posted by Parallex
Nah, I think it's more the opposite. Mark Carney is a well known (relatively speaking), well regarded central banker who has also worked on Wall Street... that's not the dippers M.O.
He's already taken in a good chunk of them by virtue of appearing to be a serious, competent, even-tempered, adult at the table and I think a serious normal human being has a lot of appeal right now... but he's not going to be pulling in Campus club types so it makes no sense to position himself to try.
In fact I think it makes more sense to try and pull in folk who would otherwise be swing voting for the CPC. You know the folk who don't give a whit about any of the culture warrior baloney and also just want a serious competent stable person who can prudently speak to the nations finances without drifting into slobbering cryptobro blather.
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Well is that opinion or do you have anything to back that?
The one CBC poll had Conservatives at 43, Liberals at like 21 and NDP at 26
With Carney it was 40 Conservatives, 37 Liberal and 13 NDP.
So that swing vote is like 3%. The rest of the support appears to be a combination of disgruntled Liberals coming back and some Singh/NDP moving to Carney. Conversely Freelund was at 26 with the Consat 40 and NDP back to 24. So it seems the Conservatives will be 40% plus or minus. Than it's a matter of NDP or Liberal. Granted this is based on decided voters. So there will be a few undecided votes, and they likely would back Carney over a Populist, especially if Trump has another 35 days like the ones he's had. But that's nothing more than my gut speculation.