Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
And there's a Pallas Federal poll showing the Conservatives with a still healthy 6 point lead nationally, but that's down from a 17 point lead a month ago.
Still can't read too much into polls (see 1993 Federal polls after Mulroney resigned), but I think there has definitely been some notable movement over the last month or so.
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A honeymoon leadership race with positive outlook for change, Trudeau's best speech ever, along with Trump literally threatening our sovereignty along with declaring economic warfare on us, tends to drown out the CPC message about carbon tax and cost of living. While Poilievre is still chanting Carbon Tax Carney and Just Like Trudeau, Canadians changed priorities. I never agreed with the CPC moving social right and Poilievre encouraging the freedom convoy. It didn't hurt them in the past because the Liberals (and NDP) were that unpopular with Canadians, but right now is a new world and it's coming back to haunt them. Just as they benefited from the Liberal's total disregard for Canadian woes, right now they are hurting by their ties to Republicans and the social far right.
Polls are the moment are going to be extremely volatile. It does appear the CPC strategy has shifted as well, but is it enough to stop the momentum shift? This is absolutely a black swan event for them (and Smith going around acting like a rogue vassal state switching allegiance sure as heck is not helping).
What is interesting to me is just how the NDP has completely disappeared everywhere including in the polls. Singh has cost his party so much.