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Old 02-04-2025, 04:26 PM   #94
TrentCrimmIndependent
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Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: Richmond upon Thames, London
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
Yeah...this is his 4th full season now and that one season is such an anomaly mostly based on his goal scoring.

31 goals on 14.7% shooting percentage in 81 games that season.

41 goals on 8.5% shooting percentage in the 210 other games in his career.

His passing is much more consistent but that one season was a bit inflated too.

21-22: 25 assists - 9.9% on ice shooting
22-23: 37 assists - 12.5% on ice shooting
23-24: 29 assists - 9.2% on ice shooting
24-25: 25 assist pace - 10.5% on ice shooting

To me he looks much more like a 20 goal, and 50 point player,. That is what all indications would be outside of one season where he rode a shooting percentage.

The real problem is he doesn't look like a play driver - and really that's the type of C that the Flames need.

He's broken 50% xGF% once in his career (22/23 at 50.04%) and his numbers relative to his team aren't great either.

20-21: 43.1% xGF, -4.0 Relative
21-22: 45.9% xGF, -0.94 Relative
22-23: 50.0% xGF, 0.96 relative
23-24: 49.6% xGF, 1.84 relative
24-25: 46.5% xGF, -2.69 relative
How much does the losing circuis team factor into it though.

Sometime you can't really gauge a players upper end until he gets out of that.
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