Quote:
Originally Posted by Harry Lime
Also interesting how much of a swing in % this game has, for both teams, in terms of likelihood of playoffs. A weirdly significant game.
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The actual odds are bizarre too.
DET is listed as going to 39% with a W, and 27% with a loss. However, there are 7 teams legitimately in the race for 2 spots, and DET would still be on the outside looking in with a win, and in 5th-7th with a loss. I would say CBS, TBL, BOS, NYI and NYR are all more likely than DET to get in. So I would think their chances are well under 20%.
Meanwhile, CGY currently holds a spot, and with a win, could move into 3rd in the division. Yet a W only moves them to 59%, and a loss to 47%. And yet, 3 of these 4 teams are going to make it:
LAK: +9
COL: +9
CGY: +7
VAN: +5
You would think that, with a win, and moving to +8, and 3 of those 4 teams are likely in, that their chances should be up in the 75-80% range. I mean, they could be in 3rd in the division after today.