Quote:
Originally Posted by Aarongavey
Most of these guys continue to produce in their 30’s
Crosby is scoring at the same rate now that he did in his late 20’s.
Giroux has his 5th highest PPG when he was 35 and has continued to produce into his late 30’s
Kadri shows no discernible signs of dropping off
Pavelski produced at or above his career average until the age of 39
Now that Kucherov has reached his 30’s he is really taking off.
I would not be too worried about Rantanen, suspect he continued to produce well into his mid 30’s. It is just sorta how it is.
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First of all, Crosby is not an example for anything, he is a unicorn.
But for everyone else, there is a difference between 'continuing to produce in their 30s' in the 60-80 range, vs being a 100+ point guy. Rantanen has been a 100+ point guy, on MacKinnon's wing, but assuming he will continue to be that going forward, for any more than maybe another 1 or 2 years, is folly.
Hardly anyone continues at 100+ points per year, much into their 30s.
To be clear, that is all fine - 'continuing to produce into their 30s' as a 70-80 point guy is still very valuable. The question is: is it worth $14M?
IMO, it is better to spend that $14M on younger guys that are growing towards being 70-80 point guys themselves (and maybe even 100 point guys, in the right situation)