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Old 01-21-2025, 01:27 AM   #10464
Itse
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Originally Posted by Pointman View Post
I call BS. They say that the actual death count is 41% higher than reported by Palestinians themselves. And they report it now. Did Lancer know it a month ago? Six months ago? The difference so large couldn't come up so late. Why didn't they say anything? In order to count death, one need to do it daily, from the very start of the war. One can't count it now that most are buried. Any number, that magically comes out at the last day of war is fishy by default.
First of all, daily counting is prone to being massively unreliable under many conditions.

Second, the method of capture-recapture analysis is considered perfectly valid.

Third, the very idea that you deny the possibility of estimating the dead after the fact as being anything other than fishy basically shows that you don't actually want to know and are already guarding yourself against the very idea of literally ever having to accept reality.

Fourth, it's well worth remembering that the Lancet study only estimates violent deaths, and thus is likely to be a severe undercount of actual deaths caused by the genocide. Which of course hasn't ended, just moved to a different, slower phase.
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