Conservative Lead Narrows to 11 Points
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The Liberal Party has seen a remarkable turnaround in its fortunes in recent weeks. Following Chrystia Freeland’s resignation a month ago, the Conservative lead had reached an all-time high of 25 points. In our latest polling, however, that advantage has narrowed to just 11 points, with the Conservatives leading 39 points to 28. At 17 points, the NDP is in third place, and their declared intention to bring down the government does not appear to have produced any benefits.
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Unsurprisingly, the Conservatives are having a terrible week.
Carney announcing his intention to run for leadership and Daniel Smith giving other parties all the ammunition they could ask for - it's hard not to see this trend continuing.
It would be truly unbelievable if the Conservatives could lose not just a majority government, but potentially the entire election itself, in just two months.