Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuzz
I didn't say it was the main point. Ya'll discuss the HUGE CPC numbers ad nauseam, so ya, I thought it was interesting to see potentials and discuss. I wasn't omitting anything. Good lord, is there a list of things I need to extract and comment on before I can comment on anything else in a poll? And despite having an A+ rating on 338, your first point is that they are somehow favouring Liberals and I absolutely shouldn't be discussing them because they came out...today? You alright upstairs?
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My original post was countering PF's delusion of Carney actually winning next election, while aggregate poll number are showing CPC with a 24 point lead and continuing to gain despite the attempted rhetoric and narrative.
You replied to my post by presenting an interesting bit verbatim "that should make Conservatives a bit nervous.", because out of
undecided voters that 47% of those would lean Liberal, and 41% would lean CPC. You did so while completely omitting the main poll details.
What exactly are you attempting to debate there? What is interesting about a 6% gap in undecided voters that should make Conservatives a bit nervous? Why don't you explain? 48.9% polled believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good politician? Maybe he should stick around based on that alone since you mentioned it.
I mean...??? what is going in your head there bringing that up?
And about Nanos, until very recently, most Nanos polls (which use a rolling method) would generally have an unusual discrepancy in the gap between CPC and Liberals compared to other peers (also highly rated polls), examples below, perhaps as a result of polling location or polling methods. Maybe the more correct observation was overestimating Liberal support. That even Nanos has such a gap now (27 points), means things are extremely dire for Liberals.
Ipsos
A+
2024-06-13 1,001 24 42 18 3 8 4 CPC +18
Nanos Research
A+
2024-06-13 1,000 (1/4) 27 41 18 4 8 2 CPC +14
Abacus Data
A−
2024-06-10 1,500 22 42 19 5 8 3 CPC +20
Angus Reid
B+
2024-01-17 1,620 24 41 20 4 9 1 CPC +17
Nanos Research
A+
2024-01-12 1,000 (1/4) 28 39 20 3 7 2 CPC +11
Abacus Data
A−
2024-01-07 1,500 24 41 18 4 7 5 CPC +17
https://338canada.com/polls.htm
Take it another way, since Jan 2024, according to Nanos, CPC has built an extra 16 points lead over the Liberals (where last year folks in this thread were claiming Poilievre may have peaked early).