Quote:
Originally Posted by Hackey
Why are teams like this extremely rare though? Because the statistical probability you will draft all these players where they did is likely under 1%. Someone wins the lottery each week, it doesn't mean it's a good retirement strategy.
The thing I'm trying to differentiate is there is a massive gap between can things happen and the likelihood of them happening.
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Teams in the current NHL who have not picked in the top 4 - Vegas
Teams that have picked in the top 4 - the other 31 teams.
The likelihood that a team will pick in the top 4 over any stretch of time (10-15 years) is almost a certainty. The likelihood that that top 4 pick will be the key contributer to a Stanley Cup championship, much much lower.