Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr.Coffee
Mmm I dunno about that. We really shouldn’t expect a cup run (like hitting the Finals or winning) unless we get outside of once every 32 years, technically.
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I'd say the odds of the Flames winning the Cup are even worse than that. Some markets have more of an advantage than others for obvious reasons. There were roughly 30 teams, give or take, during Edwards's tenure, so if it was just random chance, the Flames would have a roughly 1/30 chance of winning any given year.
But then you factor in the number of teams that players prefer to play for over the Flames and other Canadian and/or small market teams, those odds probably shrink significantly.
I don't know how one could actually calculate the true odds for the Flames winning a Cup, but without nearly flawless management and a lot luck (like winning draft lotteries), the chances have to be much smaller than 1/30 over the past 25 years.
Edit: I see Macindoc already covered it.