View Single Post
Old 12-29-2024, 11:25 AM   #232
SuperMatt18
Franchise Player
 
SuperMatt18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Calgary, AB
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenLantern2814 View Post
They’re 5th in the division as play resumes after Christmas.

If not for 7 OTLs, they’re tied with Seattle and only four points up on the Sharks.

They can’t win on the road, and they couldn’t score with a handful of 50s in a house of ill repute.

I just don’t see how there isn’t a massive cratering in the second half.
Not really true because if you just randomly remove OT losses you actually have to remove the Sharks (6) and Kraken (2) so the Flames would still be up on them.

In the end the Flames are 5-0-7 in OT. They do lead the league in OT games at 12, but it's because they tend to keep every game tight.

In then end the thresholds remain the same:

Playoffs: 0.585 - 96 points
Bottom 10: 0.486 - 80 points
Bottom 5: 0.440 - 72 points

Flames have 41 points (0.586) with 47 games left (94 available points)

Playoffs: 55 points - 0.585 pace (if they keep current pace they should get in)
Bottom 10: 39 points - 0.415 pace
Bottom 5: 31 points - 0.330 pace

At this point I don't think bottom 5 is even possible, I just don't see a way this team starts playing .330 hockey.

Even Bottom 10 is a bit of a stretch....18-26-3 would have to be their record the rest of the way and that seems tough when they are 17-11-7 now.
SuperMatt18 is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to SuperMatt18 For This Useful Post: