I think part of the problem is this team's probably already picked a lane and that lane is going to be a 12-18th OV pick with how things sit right now:
15: Flames - .563 (18th OV pick based on points percentage ignoring conference breakdown, 16th if consider the Flames would draft before the 2 Eastern conference playoff teams they are ahead of in the standings)
Bottom 10: Seattle - .485
So I think the number that's been the floor for Bottom 10 most of this season has been .480 / 78 points .
With 50 games remaining at this point and 36 points actually accumulated, the Flames can only get 42 points / .420 points percentage the rest of the season to safely be bottom 10.
Which looks more realistic than it did even 20 days ago due to going 3-5-3 in their last 11 games (.409 point percentage) but it also shows how hard it's going to be to get below that .420 threshold the rest of the season because in these last 11 games they had a 4 game losing streak, are rocking a .962 PDO (9.5 shooting percentage / .867 save percentage) and they are still just barely below that threshold.
Last edited by SuperMatt18; 12-19-2024 at 11:58 AM.
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