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Old 12-19-2024, 10:58 AM   #16002
bizaro86
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Singh is trying to get rid of Trudeau without calling an election because the NDP would get destroyed in an election now, but if they keep propping Trudeau up and Trudeau runs in the next election the NDP will get destroyed then because it'll be obvious that the previous year of Trudeau nonsense was their fault.

If the Liberals switch to someone even slightly more palatable soon (which would be basically anyone at this point) he can talk about how he affected change, and since voters have short memories by the fall Trudeau will be less of an issue. That's obviously the best case for him.

The problem is Trudeau resigning isn't the best case for Trudeau, and Singh can't make him resign, all he can do is threaten to force an election. But if Trudeau calls his bluff and doesn't resign he has a tough choice to make. And since it's pretty obvious to Trudeau (and everyone else) that Singh doesn't want an election now for a bunch of reasons, the incentive is pretty clear for Trudeau to call his bluff.

I think the more likely path for Trudeau to resign is for the Liberal caucus to boot him out in hopes of saving their own jobs in the next election.
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