Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
I think it forms the basis of what the average NHL skater would do with a shot in that vicinity arriving under a specific circumstance.
But doesn't allow for the quality of the shooter, or the position of the goaltender.
Over a big enough sample size it evens out.
Smaller sample sizes would need to be viewed through that lens.
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Somewhat.
And maybe even mostly.
But some teams are going to allow the shooters more time, more space, and more opportunity to make plays, than other teams do. So it is never going to even out. And the problem is: we don't know the degree of that problem so we can't know how close it will, or won't, come to evening out. And that makes it very difficult to draw meaningful conclusions from the numbers.
And yet every day, we see people take these stats from individual games, and apply them like they are what's what.