Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
The correlation between number of top 5 draft picks taken, and cups, based on those two data sets above, is 0.123
If drafting top 5 was important, and thus, presumably, drafting more top 5 would be better, than the correlation should be MUCH higher than this
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Why do you think it's top 5?
I already provided the data that shows 5th not near as valuable historically at top 4 for scorers
And to the effect, three isn't nearly as valuable as 1-2 (4 surprisingly is way more valuable then 3 for forwards)
And this doesn't take into lag consideration. Obviously finishing last 2 years in a row like SJ and Chicago the last two seasons isn't going to win them a cup. Yet.
So you need to determine the average lag to a player hitting their potential and factor in . A player in the minors drafted contributes ZERO to the cup winning chance.