There's so many other factors that can come into play too like injuries, strength of schedule, road vs home schedules, plus rematch in Division games.
Across the NFL it's becoming pretty common that the team who runs for the most yards tends to win the game. The Commanders just played the Ravens/Steelers/Eagles who are 3 teams who allow under 100 yards per game rushing.
Commanders have Titans-Saints-Eagles-Falcons-Cowboys left. So one elite run defence and the other 3 appear to be mid..if they continue to fade there could be something to this.
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"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
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