Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
Over time have there been players who consistently underperform their expected goals for vis their actual goals for?
I'm not criticizing advanced stats but my left brain has the biased that there will be gaps where advanced stats will say this player should score more. But said player lacks that extra bit of talent that differentiates a legit scorer from a below average finisher. In time a player like Zary looks like he should normalize to his advanced numbers. A guy like Pospisil to me might be the guy who largely underperforms in terms of production based results, but might have that Shean Donovan outlier year where he out performs and doubles other years totals.
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Every season there is a list of players that exceed their expected goal production.
They are generally highly skilled and can finish at a better rate than the average player.
I used to hold hope on Draisaitl reverting to average, but he just doesn't.
Not sure Pospisil is that guy.
This season ...
Flames players ranked in exceeding expected results
GF/60 vs xGF60
Kirkland +2.21/60
Huberdeau +1.09/60
Pospisil +0.76/60
Pospisil still ahead of the curve, but generating less when he's on the ice.
Conversely, Kadri, Sharangovich and Zary are all under water, suggesting there is more to come.