Electoral College results - 283-255
Who takes White House as president - Trump
Popular Vote results - 51-49 Harris thanks to the west coast
Senate split- 52-48 GOP
House split - 218-217 Democrat
Swing State Winners
Arizona - Trump
Georgia - Trump
Michigan - Harris
Nevada - Trump
North Carolina - Trump
Pennsylvania - Trump
Wisconsin - Harris
Any other upset you want to predict - No upsets. Trump underperforms in the early polling and the election is called “fairly” early at 12:30am. Georgia returns should be quick thanks to the rules around their early vote counting.
And a brief summary of your rational.
I don’t have a preference, although, a Trump win will make for better TV over the next 4 years. I also think people over estimate the value of the celebrity influence. When it comes down to it, do people really care how Beyoncé and Harrison Ford vote? If so, it’s a sad state of affairs. Trump always underperforms in polling and if they are calling it a dead heat.. I’d rather be in his position tonight. In 2016 he was behind over 4 points in the aggregate the night before, behind in every poll. In 2020 he was 8.4 points behind Biden the night before and lost by only 3.5. Harris needs the gap to be at least 4. Being even or 1 point ahead is nothing considering she’ll run up the score in only a few heavily populated states.
