Quote:
Originally Posted by Sultan
Ok, I'll bite, even though I think you are an Oiler fan 
Where, exactly is trump holding a huge lead, like what states, and which sites are you seeing that? I am not seeing that at all. Weren't you talking about Polymarket and all the the ones that had it 35 harris, 65 trump?
Penn is not 50/50, trump is already suing and none of the actual exit polls show that trump is leading.
How about a link?
Or hey, you keep spamming this stuff from twitter and RT, you must believe it, i'll take the current odds on your poly site for 100 dollars on Kamala Harris, Canadian. We can donate the proceeds to CP or a nice Christmas charity? You seem pretty confident and I don't mind donating if I lose.
Put up or shut up as they say Either way, if you accept, another family or a place of communication will be helped. |
What is your basis for assuming penn is not 50/50?
How to do evaluate early vote numbers (not exit polls) to reach your conclusion when they haven’t been historically predictive.
Polymarket is now 45/55 right in the ball park with the modellers. Outside of one state level poll there is nothing to suggest the race isn’t close.
Taking the current odds on poly market isn’t really showing confidence in your position. It’s basically saying Trump is favoured slightly more than polling suggests which is the opposite of the rest of your argument.