I think the wash trading here is being misinterpreted as artificially inflating trumps odds. In a regular stock pump and dump scheme the wash trading increases prices of stocks by creating the appearance of demand to buy and sell the commodity which draws in other people to buy and sell the commodity. I don’t think in a betting market you would have the same affect as there isn’t a fixed volume of stock available.
None of the articles are stating that it artificially changes odds instead just the apparent demand
https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/3...g-researchers/
Harris up to 42% on polymarket and at 48% on 538. That’s effectively the same prediction.