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Old 11-01-2024, 08:19 PM   #23561
nfotiu
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Join Date: May 2002
Location: Virginia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chedder View Post
DJT stock down 43% in the last three days. Wonder if the wall street bros aren't so sure of a Trump win.
There are so many intertwined forces that it is impossible to read anything into it.
  • There's definitely some pump and dump action on the stock itself.
  • A misguided force thinking that if Trump wins that DJT is actually going to be worth some.
  • Polymarket being manipulated to show Trump strength, which in turn fuels DJT, which fuels other betting markets and PM...
  • Probably some intentionally skewed polls being released

None of that means that anyone has any good reason to think Harris is a strong favorite. It seems pretty obvious though that all the predictive markets have been completely manipulated.

So... back to 50/50
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