[Cali Panthers Fan]

Originally Posted by Lanny_McDonald

Trump has the best chance based on polling numbers. You would have to ignore all of the data out there to think he is not the clear leader at the moment and recognize that a large percentage of the United States population is dumb as a post and will let their social media guide their lives. Trump and his followers own social media right now, so they have a massive advantage there. For that reason I think Trump has the inside track to 270, with probably 302 being the final count.

Having said all of that, there could be some problems brewing for Trump that could dramatically shift the needle. Number one, Trump is already laying the groundwork for a challenge in Pennsylvania, so they must have some inside data that shows them trailing there and likely to lose. Number two, the Puerto Rican vote becomes important. Florida has a big population of Puerto Rican voters, as does Pennsylvania, which could swing this vote in close Florida and Pennsylvania races. We already know Pennsylvania is in play, but it appears that Florida may have just been dragged into the mix as a state up for grabs. If Florida and Pennsylvania fall off the Trump train, Harris will win unless she collapses in Wisconsin and Michigan.

That's a lot of things that have to fall in Harris' favor. It is possible, but I still think Trump is going win by an electoral college edge and lose ugly in popular vote.

As I mentioned previously, there are two hugely important ballot amendments that Democrats are going to come out in droves for. Legal weed. No laws restricting abortion access. Add in the chance to flip Rick Scott out of office and there's a very big chance that Florida could be a toss up at the very least. I know it's been trending red for a while, but there could be a lot of Trump apathy on the right and a strong blue turnout at the polls.