Quote:
Originally Posted by Lanny_McDonald
States in play: Wisconsin (10), Michigan (15), Pennsylvania (19), Virginia (13), North Carolina (16), Georgia (16), Florida (30), Arizona (11), and Nevada (6). Without those states the count is Harris 213 and Trump 189. So, lots of iterations that can go into play. Saying losing any one state is a death nell to either campaign is silly.
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Florida and Virginia are not in play unless it's a total landslide. And if it is, those states won't matter at all.
That really is the point, to identify which states are the tipping point. If the Dems have enough support to win some of the other toss-up states, then really no way to see them losing MI, WI or PA.
You should play around with the numbers. I can't see any plausible scenario where the Dems lose one of those states but win some of the other ones. Win Goergia but lose Michigan? Not likely at all.