Anders Puck Nielsen with an excellent summary on how Ukraine thinks about the war and what needs to happen for it to end, highly recommended.
Main point: Ukraine is ready to negotiate on soil, but it doesn't feel like it can stop fighting the war unless there's some guarantee that Russia won't use the break in fighting to just build up a new army and try again.
Which for them means either building their own nukes, or NATO protection.
This is not something the West is crazy about.
Ukraine is going to draft 160.000 more people.
They have so far draftes about a million people.
https://kyivindependent.com/160-000-...ecretary-says/
Quote:
The intensity of artillery fire from russian invasion forces in Ukraine has significantly decreased following a series of drone strikes on large ammunition depots inside russian territory, according to Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk, First Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine.
In an interview with#RBC-Ukraine, Havryliuk revealed that the current artillery fire ratio between Ukrainian and russian forces is about 1:2. This marks an improvement from early summer 2024, when the ratio was 1:3, and even more so compared to the beginning of the year, when the ratio heavily favored russia at 1:7, 1:8, or worse.
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https://en.defence-ua.com/analysis/t...mes-12298.html
The above is really good news for Ukraine, as the Russian way of war is so dependent on artillery superiority.
Quote:
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In September 2024, Russian forces recorded an average of#1,271 casualties per day, the highest since the start of the conflict. This surge in losses, surpassing the previous record set in May 2024, is attributed to expanded combat zones in Kharkiv and Kursk and the high-density front lines where fierce fighting is ongoing.
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Quote:
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Russian forces are still making slow tactical advances, particularly in the eastern regions. However, these gains are limited by a range of issues, including high attrition rates, logistical challenges, and officer shortages.
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https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/russ...in-slow-gains/
Casualties are of course high in both sides right now.
However: rising Russian casualty rates is something to look out for when trying to find signs that Russia is starting to run short in equipment. After all, throwing more meat to the grinder is a classic Russian way to make up for... well anything and everything.