Quote:
Originally Posted by nfotiu
The problem with reading too much into the early voting is that the rules in states for early voting change constantly, and COVID kept moving early/mail in voting to be more the norm.
The electoral map shifted a lot with Trump's 2016 win, shifted again in 2020 and will shift again with Harris as a candidate.
A Harris +2 nationally might not play out the same as a Hillary or Biden +2 in the electoral college.
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That's the part I was struggling with in the data on early voting on NBC. It said 60m something votes out with 50m something cast.
Now where I live you get an election card, and I can use that card to go anywhere in the state / nationally to vote 2weeks prior to the day. Is that the same or similar in the battleground states? So there could be another 25m early votes as walk ups? Or are the other 90m voters now locked in to vote on election day?