Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathgod
There's oceans of difference between 66% chance of a Trump victory and a coin flip.
If you look at RealClearPolling, it is flooded with right-wing partisan polls and is therefore predicting a Trump win. The betting odds are, well, betting odds.
I think more can be read from the early voting data than polls or betting odds.
Trump is not making it through a 4 year term. If he wins, a Project 2025 ghoul (be it Vance or someone else) is taking over at some point.
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If by Ocean you mean 2% in the nantional polls then sure “ocean of difference”. Dems need plus 3 nationally to win so Dems plus 2 is right in the range above.