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Old 10-21-2024, 05:14 PM   #481
CliffFletcher
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Join Date: May 2006
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The case for drafting top-4 isn’t that it makes you likely to win the Cup. It’s that it makes you more likely to win the Cup than not drafting in the top-4.

If diving to the bottom of the standings gives you a 40 per cent chance of icing a contender once the rebuild matures, and not picking at the top of the draft gives you a 25 per cent chance of contending in that timeframe, then the tank strategy is the better strategy - even if it’s unlikely to make you a contender.

I’m having flashbacks to the CP Iginla Rebuild Wars (2009-12).
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