I think the Yankees will be at least in on Soto. $600 MM is probably 15 x $40, with a good chunk of that deferred to lower the luxury tax calculation and make it more like 15 x $35 in real value.
They're paying Rizzo $17MM this year and his next year is a club option. Plus retained salary for next year is like $8MM lower than this year, as Josh Donaldson comes off their books ($6MM) plus a few other guys. They're already paying Soto $31 MM. Give him Donaldson's $6 MM and that gets you to $37 MM/year. Save a few million on a replacement first baseman and you've got a very competitive offer.
I'm not saying they'll be the highest bidder for Soto, but if they're in at $35-$40 MM the Mets/Dodgers will need to beat that number. I think it'll come down to the number of years he can extract. I think he'll get $40 MM per year (matching Judge) and 13 years easy, and up to 15 if he gets a couple of bidders going.
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