Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
This is wrong though...an early vote is a guaranteed vote
a lot can happen on election day (weather, sickness, car breaks down, long lines, work, ect.) High early voting signals a high overall turnout which traditionally will help democrats.
A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
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My point was early voting doesn't necessarily mean overall turnout will be up. It could net out to no increase at all. It could net out to a decline. Until election day it's just a number. But even if it is up, as mentioned, high turnout in an incumbent election historically is bad for the incumbent (in this case that would be Harris).