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Originally Posted by Coach
Yes totally. And there are a bunch of other factors that makes something on the surface look significant, but may end up ultimately irrelevant. Including people answer questions in a way that they actually may not vote. No one knows what decision happens for each person until theyre looking at the piece of paper.
I really don't think the polling matters, particularly polling that is so close. With the way some of these voting blocks are, 100 people changing their mind somewhere, or voting that didn't last time, or couldn't last time, could make the total EC vote difference. There's just absolutely no way to account for that narrow of variance unless you polled everyone in those counties one by one, which is what the vote is. So it brings me back to my first point.
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If it didn't matter than campaigns wouldn't do internals. It still matters. Is it more difficult than ever to do? Absolutely, but it's not worthless. What I think is impossible to believe in polling these days is there is such a thing as undecideds. Things are way to hyper-polarized for there to be many undecideds.