Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuzz
If you want to trust that an activist billionaire hiring a celebrity statistician for their betting site is just about that, and nothing else, well OK. Maybe you just haven't lost as much faith in humanity as I have, but I've come to understand that these guys don't do that sort of thing solely as a business transaction. My first inclination is to suspect malfeasance, and I don't think that's conspiracy theory thinking.
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Well you have no evidence so in fact, it's 100% conspiracy theory thinking.
Peter Thiel is an investor in Polymarket, he didn't "hire" Nate Silver as an advisor, the founders of Polymarket did, and they probably see it as good business to make money. Do you have any evidence that Nate Silver makes more or less money on his predictions?
You still haven't explained why Nate Silver would agree to be manipulated.