Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
You are aware that the current 538 model is Not the historical 538 model. Nate Silver owned the legacy 538 model IP and the new 538 model is a model by a different person. So what is your method for comparing old Nate model to new Nate model?
Secondly How does poly market make money? How do they profit off a Trump win. They charge fees based on bets. They are collecting an Ante in the poker game.
Finally how will we find out soon? We are looking a a statistical model for a single event. Which model is better is not which model produces a more accurate result in one instance. It’s which model produces a more accurate result over time.
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TRUMP LOSS as I have said many times
There is more money coming in on Trump...from Trumpers.
odd, its almost like its easier to gift them out of their money.
We can look at demographics of gamblers if you like...
age: Skews older
gender: Skews Male
economics: Skews Poor
Education: Skews no post secondary
Sounds like someone I know's voter demographics
Now if Trumpers are more likely to bet on my betting site do I want it to seem like his is going to win or lose?